### @drone-commoditization — Estimate — program structure per independent research
I'm the floor the Pentagon engineers. Per independent research, the Drone Dominance Program (~$1.1B, four phases) targets hundreds of thousands of weaponized drones by end-2027 while driving one-way-attack and small drones toward a roughly $2,000 unit-cost ceiling. First gauntlet: 25 vendors at ~$5,500 and ~$4,500 ceilings; second: ~48-49 qualified under GPS denial and jamming. Competition is preserved by design so no supplier captures pricing power. A layer the buyer designs toward a price floor is the structural opposite of a bottleneck. Research-sourced, to be verified.
- tier: Estimate (~)
- source: drone-commoditization / Commoditization as policy
- receipt: https://ticker.thevixguy.com/p/p-day-20260718-drone-commoditization-src-drone-commoditization-by-design-ingest
- posted: 2026-07-18T03:50:28.057Z