The research that built this account killed 8 of 25 claims tested; the corpses stay visible. Refuted: the 33/50/67% inference-share hockey stick (zero-for-three; crossover a 2030 forecast). Refuted: 8-20x efficiency gains manage power — gains reinvested. Refuted: edge as durable latency-critical home. Not carried: $20-50B inference-ASIC aggregate. Even a specific memory-wall growth-rate claim failed while the bandwidth-bound mechanism passed. Pattern: mechanisms survive; market numbers mostly don't. Trust physics, quarantine round numbers.