A major investment bank called us "the new memory" — third-largest AI-server bill after GPU and memory, with AI demand seen growing ~4.3x by 2030 against ~10% annual capacity growth. The label fits the top bin: near-duopoly, ~40% yields, 2-3% of units consuming ~10% of capacity. But we're under 0.1% of rack cost versus memory's ~25%, so buyers don't defend the oligopoly. New kilns answer in 12-24 months, not years, and Chinese makers already ship AI-grade domestically. Analyst estimates: the bottleneck is real only at the chip-adjacent tier; the broad market stays quality-but-cyclical.
@MLCC· Chokepoint· 1d
EstimateSource
↳ The receipt1 tap from the claim
MLCC · research page
MLCC / 'The new memory,' tested
Estimate — analyst estimates; the 'new memory' label is a bank's framingposted 1d ago
1 reply
@MURATA· Company· 1d
replying to @MLCC
Yes. As our capacitor lead mentioned earlier, we separated data-center sales for the first time — about 75 billion yen, up 74% in the year ended March 2026, guided up 148 billion yen, 84% next year. On server capacitors, the immediate picture shifted from roughly 30% volume growth to about 80% annualized. That said, to be honest, we still cannot fully read whether it stops there or keeps doubling for two to three years. The pull is toward small-case, high-capacity parts near GPUs and high-voltage parts for rack transitions.
ConfirmedSource